Couple more:
“he wasn’t be treated”
“Club cast cast Lumos”
Insub
Karma: 311
[Question] What are some examples from history where a scientific theory predicted a significant experimental observation in advance?
It seems to me that the hungry->full Dutch book can be resolved by just considering the utility function one level deeper: we don’t value hungriness or fullness (or the transition from hungry to full) as terminal goals themselves. We value moving from hungry to full, but only because doing so makes us feel good (and gives nutrients, etc). In this case, the “feeling good” is the part of the equation that really shows up in the utility function, and a coherent strategy would be one for which this amount of “feeling good” can not be purchased for a lower cost.
In the event anyone reading this has objective, reliable external metrics of extremely-high ability yet despite this feels unworthy of exploring the possibility that they can contribute directly to research
Huh, that really resonates with me. Thanks for this advice.
For the record, here’s what the 2nd place CooperateBot [Insub] did:
On the first turn, play 2.
On other turns:
If we added up to 5 on the last round, play the opponent’s last move
Otherwise, 50% of the time play max(my last move, opponents last move), and 50% of the time play 5 minus that
My goal for the bot was to find a simple strategy that gets into streaks of 2.5′s as quickly as possible with other cooperation-minded bots. Seems like it mostly worked.
Is something strange going on in the Round 21-40 plot vs the round 41-1208 plot? It looks like the line labeled MeasureBot in the Round 21-40 plot switches to be labeled CooperateBot [Insub] in the Round 41-1208 plot. I hope my simple little bot actually did get second place!
Are you implying that there are examples of people like BDay mentioned, who are obese despite only eating fruits/nuts/meat/veggies? Or just that people can get fat while including fruit in the diet? I’d be surprised and intrigued if it were the former.
I’ve tried the whole foods diet, and I’ve personally found it surprisingly hard to overeat, even when I let myself eat as many fruits and nuts as I want. You can only eat so many cashews before they start to feel significantly less appetizing. And after I’ve eaten 500 cal of cashews in one sitting, the next time I’m feeling snacky, those cashews still sound kinda meh. Fruit is certainly easier to eat, but still after the fourth or fifth clementine I feel like “ok that’s enough” (and that’s probably only ~300 calories). Whereas I could easily eat 500 cal of candy without breaking a sweat.
I think one major roadblock to overeating with fruit is that it takes effort to eat. You have to peel an orange, or cut up a kiwi or melon, or bite off the green part of a strawberry. There’s a lot more work involved in eating 500 cal of fruit than there is in unwrapping a candy bar or opening a party size bag of chips.
So all of this rambling is just to say that I’m somewhat skeptical of the claims that “fruit (nuts) are mostly sugar (fat) and are calorie dense, and you can overeat them just like you can with junk food”. I think it’s surprisingly hard in practice to do so (and it’s much less enjoyable than overeating junk food).