Gesild Muka

• Gesild MukaJan 8, 2024, 12:56 PM

  3 points

  3

  in reply to: ChristianKl’s comment on: Al­most ev­ery­one I’ve met would be well-served think­ing more about what to fo­cus on

  I don’t think the main takeaway was to focus only on what matters, I understood it as advice to spend more time thinking about what is worth different levels of focus and why.

• Gesild MukaJan 4, 2024, 1:11 AM

  1 point

  0

  on: Dat­ing Roundup #2: If At First You Don’t Succeed

  This was a good read. The problem with using dating apps to gauge success is that their methods and marketing are arguably incentivized to attract users who never form long term matches and still continue to use the app.

  One possible explanation for lack of success that is touched upon through other explanations but never explicitly stated is the mismatch of expectations in our current always-internet-connected world. Depending on what you’ve been exposed to your expectations might be very specific/​different from the rest of the dating market.

• Gesild MukaDec 27, 2023, 5:06 PM

  0 points

  0

  on: Would you have a baby in 2024?

  Yes. The more the merrier.

• Gesild MukaDec 12, 2023, 2:51 AM

  1 point

  0

  on: The Con­scious­ness Box

  When you’re hungry and finally eat a satisfying meal which sensation is most comparable?

  a. Helping a stranger b. Reaching orgasm c. Winning an award d. Scratching an itch

• Gesild MukaDec 7, 2023, 1:23 PM

  3 points

  0

  on: We’re all in this together

  the next 0 to 5 years, which is about how long we have

  Can you do a full post on how you see the next 5 years unfolding if it does take that long? I read takeoff speeds on your blog, can you assign best guess timeframes for your model?

• Gesild MukaDec 1, 2023, 2:42 PM

  1 point

  0

  on: AI #40: A Vi­sion from Vitalik

  The older a transhumanist gets the less you should trust them to accurately judge AGI risk.

  This has some interesting implications. Reminds me of psychics who make confident predictions 100 years in the future but will refuse or be offended if you challenge them to make confirmable predictions within their lifetimes or the next week/​month/​year.

• Gesild MukaNov 29, 2023, 2:08 PM

  1 point

  −2

  on: Thoughts on tele­trans­porta­tion with copies?

  Maybe I’m not understanding it correctly, if I’m selfish about my own experiences I wouldn’t get into the machine in the first place. If I have no choice in whether or not to get in the machine I’d refuse the lottery ticket even if it was free just to spite my future copied self who gets to exist because I was destroyed.

• Gesild MukaNov 28, 2023, 5:01 PM

  1 point

  0

  on: Help me solve this prob­lem: The basilisk isn’t real, but peo­ple are

  Could Alice befriend someone who is closer to building AGI than Bob? If so, perhaps they can protect Alice or at least offer some peace of mind.

• Gesild MukaNov 21, 2023, 3:20 PM

  4 points

  0

  on: What will hap­pen with real es­tate prices dur­ing a slow take­off?

  My intuition is that housing prices will go down assuming that population doesn’t change too dramatically and assuming that while AI is slowly taking off there are also sizeable takeoffs in energy production, transportation and automation of physical labor. I assume the price of land will be mostly evenly distributed as logistical costs of building and labor drop. The exception might be areas in the world that are especially sought after for AI infrastructure.

• Gesild MukaNov 21, 2023, 12:57 PM

  1 point

  0

  on: Am I go­ing in­sane or is the qual­ity of ed­u­ca­tion at top uni­ver­si­ties shock­ingly low?

  It does appear that the process to become a certified teacher is more rigorous than a university professor. The way k-12 schools track progress is also very different from colleges.

• Gesild MukaNov 21, 2023, 12:44 PM

  0 points

  0

  in reply to: Ben Pace’s comment on: Vote on worth­while OpenAI top­ics to discuss

  The main reason for Altman’s firing was due to a scandal of a more personal nature mostly unrelated to the everyday or strategic operations of OpenAI.

• Gesild MukaNov 17, 2023, 12:53 PM

  3 points

  on: Moses and the Class Struggle

  For how fun and whimsical the story is, the ending is somewhat dark.

• Gesild MukaNov 15, 2023, 2:15 PM

  1 point

  0

  in reply to: Bruce Lewis’s comment on: Should Ad­vanced Place­ment High School classes dis­cuss Is­rael-Pales­tine? If so, how? If not, why?

  Of course and if it were up to me students would do so by studying the War of the Ring by reading and analyzing Tolkien but I don’t think that would be as useful for their academic and professional careers as studying current events. The original question is who should make such decisions?

[Question] Should Ad­vanced Place­ment High School classes dis­cuss Is­rael-Pales­tine? If so, how? If not, why? Who should make this de­ci­sion?

• Gesild MukaNov 13, 2023, 1:08 PM

  1 point

  0

  in reply to: Bruce Lewis’s comment on: Should Ad­vanced Place­ment High School classes dis­cuss Is­rael-Pales­tine? If so, how? If not, why?

  Thank you for your answer. I’m not so sure it is a divisive issue for the students, they seem to have little context or interest. If the purpose of AP courses is just to pass the AP test then there’s already a lot of pointless materials and discussions, current events are not less relevant by comparison. Or maybe they are? I don’t know who should make this decision (I’ve added this to the question).

  Before I started teaching I would have thought that at the AP level students should, even briefly, learn to analyze conflicts and write about them in a nuanced and researched way. Now that I’m behind the curtain I see it’s mostly up to individual teachers and a quick conversation in the teacher’s lounge will often decide what is and isn’t taught. It was somewhat alarming. Is it just me?

• Gesild MukaNov 8, 2023, 2:53 PM

  20 points

  0

  in reply to: Ben Pace’s comment on: Vote on In­ter­est­ing Disagreements

  The rationality community will noticeably spill over into other parts of society in the next ten years. Examples: entertainment, politics, media, art, sports, education etc.

• Gesild MukaNov 4, 2023, 3:00 PM

  1 point

  −2

  in reply to: cousin_it’s comment on: The other side of the tidal wave

  I think I understand, we’re discussing with different scales in mind. I’m saying individually (or if your community is a small local group) nothing has to end but if your interests and identity are tied to sizeable institutions, technical communities etc. many will be disrupted by AI to the point where they could fade away completely. Maybe I’m just an unrealistic optimist, I don’t believe collective or individual meaning has to fade away just because the most interesting and cutting edge work is done exclusively by machines.

• Gesild MukaNov 3, 2023, 3:33 PM

  −2 points

  −3

  on: The other side of the tidal wave

  Even if we don’t die, it still feels like everything is coming to an end.

  Everything? I imagine there will be communities/​nations/​social groups that completely ban AI and those that are highly dependent on AI. There must be something between those two extremes.

• Gesild MukaOct 31, 2023, 5:34 PM

  3 points

  1

  on: Some rules for life (v.0,0)

  This list is great. I especially resonate with 7, for a long time I didn’t take responsibility because I felt I lacked the intellect/​skill/​certain something that others had who seemed so much more capable than me but it helps to keep in mind, as the post states, there are no adults.

• Gesild MukaOct 27, 2023, 2:01 PM

  1 point

  0

  on: RA Bounty: Look­ing for feed­back on screen­play about AI Risk

  I left notes throughout. The main issue is the structure which I usually map out descriptively by trying to answer: where do you want the characters to end up psychologically and how do you want the audience to feel? Figuring out these descriptive beats for each scene, episode and season will help refine the story and drive staging, dialogue etc. and of course nothing is set in stone so you can always change the structure to accommodate a scene or vice versa. I also recommended a companion series like a podcast or talkshow to discuss the ideas in each episode in more detail and in an accessible way for anyone that watches the show who is not familiar with AI related concepts. This way you wouldn’t have to hold back with the writing or worry about anyone misunderstanding or misreading the story. I look forward to seeing the animation.