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DirectedEvolution

Karma: 11,078

Pandemic Prediction Checklist: H5N1

Pandemic Prediction Checklist: Monkeypox

Correlation may imply some sort of causal link.

For guessing its direction, simple models help you think.

Controlled experiments, if they are well beyond the brink

Of .05 significance will make your unknowns shrink.

Replications show there’s something new under the sun.

Did one cause the other? Did the other cause the one?

Are they both controlled by what has already begun?

Or was it their coincidence that caused it to be done?

Unit Test Everything

DirectedEvolutionSep 29, 2022, 6:12 PM
30 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

For Bet­ter Com­ment­ing, Stop Out Loud

DirectedEvolutionJul 28, 2022, 1:39 AM
18 points
30 comments1 min readLW link

Mak­ing DALL-E Count

DirectedEvolutionJul 22, 2022, 9:11 AM
23 points
12 comments4 min readLW link

Mar­burg Virus Pan­demic Pre­dic­tion Checklist

DirectedEvolutionJul 18, 2022, 11:15 PM
30 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] App idea to help with read­ing STEM text­books (feed­back re­quest)

DirectedEvolutionJul 13, 2022, 6:28 PM
16 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Five routes of ac­cess to sci­en­tific literature

DirectedEvolutionJul 3, 2022, 8:53 PM
13 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Com­mon but ne­glected risk fac­tors that may let you get Paxlovid

DirectedEvolutionJun 21, 2022, 7:34 AM
29 points
8 comments4 min readLW link

Mon­key­pox: ex­plain­ing the jump to Europe

DirectedEvolutionMay 23, 2022, 9:53 AM
44 points
10 comments5 min readLW link

Fea­ture re­quest: draft comments

DirectedEvolutionMay 17, 2022, 9:21 PM
9 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

How to place a bet on the end of the world

DirectedEvolutionApr 20, 2022, 6:24 PM
27 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

Men­tal non­sense: my anti-in­som­nia trick

DirectedEvolutionMar 28, 2022, 10:47 PM
34 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Re­search on how pat­tern-find­ing con­tributes to mem­o­riza­tion?

DirectedEvolutionMar 23, 2022, 9:42 PM
9 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In­ter­est in a digi­tal LW “book” club?

DirectedEvolutionFeb 9, 2022, 5:59 AM
19 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Nuanced and Ex­treme Countersignaling

DirectedEvolutionJan 24, 2022, 6:47 AM
29 points
9 comments6 min readLW link

Specialization

DirectedEvolutionDec 23, 2021, 3:23 AM
13 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

What Ca­plan’s “Miss­ing Mood” Heuris­tic Is Really For

DirectedEvolutionDec 16, 2021, 7:47 PM
32 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

Anti-cor­re­lated causation

DirectedEvolutionDec 6, 2021, 4:36 AM
18 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Sub­mit com­ments on Paxlovid to the FDA (dead­line Nov 29th).

DirectedEvolutionNov 27, 2021, 6:44 PM
20 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Use Tools For What They’re For

DirectedEvolutionNov 23, 2021, 8:26 AM
28 points
14 comments8 min readLW link

A phar­ma­ceu­ti­cal stock pric­ing mystery

DirectedEvolutionNov 14, 2021, 1:19 AM
14 points
2 comments3 min readLW link