[link] XKCD on saving time; http://xkcd.com/1205/ Image URL (for hotlinking/embedding): http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/is_it_wor Though it will probably be mostly unseen as the month is about to end.
blashimov
Karma: 213
Sure, in this case.
The US is part of the world.
I was expressing my thoughts on a general and common failure mode that I have attempted to correct, and that this article provides evidence I have failed to do so.
It seems to me that, given people are already sexist, and given that telling someone their group has a lower average directly lowers their performance, such a re-weighting should never ever be used.
I would dearly like citations for everything—I would really like to know if I am still terrible at estimating how awful the world is.
You might be remembering the times you are correct more clearly than the times you are wrong.
That may be too much to ask for. Besides, if the horse evidence had worked, you’d be forced to turn around and apply it to Jesus...it may not have worked for her, but it has worked on some theists.
I wonder if this is a slight reaction to another kind of YA fiction, in which adults are useless, often from stupidity.
I have always had an animal fear of death, a fate I rank second only to having to sit through a rock concert. My wife tries to be consoling about mortality and assures me that death is a natural part of life, and that we all die sooner or later. Oddly this news, whispered into my ear at 3 a.m., causes me to leap screaming from the bed, snap on every light in the house and play my recording of “The Stars and Stripes Forever” at top volume till the sun comes up.
-Woody Allen EDIT: Fixed formatting.
Yeesh, I know she at least once remembered the right section and page, then read from the book, and I feel like she’s quoted books before, but darned if I can find it easily.
Yes, while it was clear on a second reading this was also clear, thanks.
It’s even worse than that, depending on how you start, you can easily get 100s of thousands of nodes...
I’m going to have to read the proof of the hydra game, because I pretty quickly got over 2.8k nodes and still in increasing...
While I’d be happy to take a look, I have to honestly predict that you won’t hear anything you haven’t heard before, and you are unlikely to change your mind.
Anyone who thinks skill points (or any other character ability) is useless in combat gets an “F” in munchkinry. ;)
It depends on what you mean by “disaster” and “over specified.” I will add that the IPCC, a body I accept as reputable, predicts a large range of possible outcomes with probability estimates, some of which I think can be fairly categorized as “disastrous.” Global warming is a large potential human misery-causer, but not even close to an existential threat. For certain countries, such as the US, it probably won’t be that bad, at least until the second half of this century.
I believe it is true as an environmental engineer engaged in atmospheric modeling. Atmospheric modeling is a field in which the standard scientific method seems to be working well, that is, there is a large benefit to researchers who are right and/or can prove others wrong. This means that there is a lot of effort going into improving models that are already quite accurate, to the limits of the data you input. For example, the 1990 model of climate change does quite well if you give it better data, and at least correctly predicts the temperature trend with bad data. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/12/10/1990-ipcc-report_n_2270453.html Similar to comments below, the IPCC is an enormous body, and I find invalidating their arguments to require an implausible conspiracy theory. You can look up the executive summary for the various reports at your leisure, they are quite readable.
Book Recommendation; Fiction; AI; While this might be the kind of scifi book to merely annoy experts, I found it enjoyable. It surrounds military use of potentially FOOM AI’s which are wiped periodically to prevent the foom. Soiler: vg snvyf. It is also part of a series, in which some overlapping events are told from different perspectives, which I also found enjoyable. http://www.amazon.com/Insidious-Michael-McCloskey/dp/1440192529
No, he is saying by buying condoms you avoid the additional work children require. My understanding.
Similarly, there was that time US soldiers fired on a camera crew, even laughing at them for being incompetent terrorists when they ran around. Or they just capture and torture them with a poor explanation.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/04/06/us-iraq-usa-journalists-idUSTRE6344FW20100406
http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2004/jan/13/usnews.iraq
I am not, but apparently there is at least one person who could.