Taken
Bitnotri
In the spirit of Epistemic Effort could you tell us how long it took you to form these ideas and to write this post?
It seems to me that in our civilisation we have a quite nice way of dealing with deficiency of faith’s crises—assuming the narrative of epistemological societal progress the people with poor epistemic hygiene, along with a smaller mix of those with a better one die off and a new generation is generally more able to look at the issues with a fresh set of eyes.
Not sure however how true it is that accurate memes tend to live and propagate—there are quite a few cases that are still disputed despite being settled for hundreds of years, although I may be looking at not big enough time frame here.
I have taken the survey.
“It is wise to take admissions of uncertainty seriously,” Daniel Kahneman noted, “but declarations of high confidence mainly tell you that an individual has constructed a coherent story in his mind, not necessarily that the story is true.”
Superforcasting, p. 85
I agree that I find it totally uninteresting and “weak” in English, in a sense that I prefer prompting in text for precision and responses. It is very good for learning languages though, along with Gemini Live mode—it works excellent for comprehensible input, voice practice and general smalltalk in a new language. If you wanted to pick up French for example you would find it way easier nowadays, otherwise it still needs scale and the next generation.