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AhmedNeedsATherapist
Karma: 4
AhmedNeedsATherapist’s Shortform
I would agree that the vibe is off.
A
typo?
It naturally follows that Eliezer Yudkowsky is so smart he can simulate himself and his environment.
Eliezer Yudkowsky never makes a rash decision; he thinks carefully about the consequences of every thought he has.
There are some positive feedback loops in school that cause gaps in ability between students in a subject to widen. There are also some negative feedback loops (e.g., intervention), but the net effect is still the gap widening. Therefore, the system’s behavior is chaotic (small differences in students’ abilities eventually lead to big differences). If this is true, it means that some variation between students’ successes is extremely difficult to predict.
Three examples of these positive feedback loops:
Suppose that Student A has less knowledge in a particular subject and is therefore performing worse than Student B in that subject. Then, it is likelier than not that:
If A and B put the same effort into studying, B is positively reinforced for the studying more frequently and more intensely than A.
When A studies the subject, the information is going to be more quickly forgotten than when B studies.
The act of studying the subject becomes more aligned with B’s self-concept than with A’s self-concept.
(ergo B studies more than A)
I have low confidence in this model, but I could not come up with a simple, testable prediction that the model makes.