Ex­traor­di­nary Evidence

Extraordinary evidence is evidence that turns an a priori highly unlikely event into an a posteriori likely event.

Blog posts

• Extraordinary Claims ARE Extraordinary Evidence by Robin Hanson

• Some Claims Are Just Too Extraordinary by Eliezer Yudkowsky

See also

• Evidence

• Belief update

References

• Hanson, Robin. When Do Extraordinary Claims Give Extraordinary Evidence? George Mason University, March 2007.