Consequences of Logical Induction

21 Mar 2020 22:25 UTC

This sequence organizes some posts which I have made in an attempt to explain logical induction and make some of its consequences intuitive, or—more speculatively—question basic probabilistic and decision-theoretic principles in light of logical induction.

Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation

abramdemski16 Feb 2018 0:44 UTC

86 points

36 comments18 min readLW link 1 review

In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games

abramdemski20 Sep 2018 2:01 UTC

94 points

10 comments5 min readLW link

Do Sufficiently Advanced Agents Use Logic?

abramdemski13 Sep 2019 19:53 UTC

48 points

10 comments9 min readLW link

An Orthodox Case Against Utility Functions

abramdemski7 Apr 2020 19:18 UTC

155 points

65 comments8 min readLW link 2 reviews

What does it mean to apply decision theory?

abramdemski8 Jul 2020 20:31 UTC

54 points

5 comments8 min readLW link

Radical Probabilism [Transcript]

abramdemski and Ben Pace

26 Jun 2020 22:14 UTC

48 points

12 comments6 min readLW link

Radical Probabilism

abramdemski18 Aug 2020 21:14 UTC

182 points

49 comments35 min readLW link 1 review

The Bayesian Tyrant

abramdemski20 Aug 2020 0:08 UTC

143 points

21 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

Time Travel Markets for Intellectual Accounting

abramdemski9 Nov 2020 16:58 UTC

45 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

Probability vs Likelihood

abramdemski10 Nov 2020 21:28 UTC

110 points

10 comments12 min readLW link

Reflective Bayesianism

abramdemski6 Apr 2021 19:48 UTC

62 points

27 comments13 min readLW link