My take on this is that noticing surprise is easier than noticing confusion, and surprise often correlates with confusion so a useful thing to do is have a habit of :
practice noticing surprise
when you notice surprise, check if you have a reason to be confused
(Where surprise is “something unexpected happened” and confused is “something is happening that I can’t explain, or my explanation of doesn’t make sense”)
I find noticing surprise more valuable than noticing confusion.
Hindsight bias and post hoc rationalisations make it easy for us to gloss over events that were apriori unexpected.
My take on this is that noticing surprise is easier than noticing confusion, and surprise often correlates with confusion so a useful thing to do is have a habit of :
practice noticing surprise
when you notice surprise, check if you have a reason to be confused
(Where surprise is “something unexpected happened” and confused is “something is happening that I can’t explain, or my explanation of doesn’t make sense”)