I would like to discuss the bayesian framework and AGI in relation to acturial “science” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_science . The idea came from browsing Yudkowsky’s http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes with its “Fun fact” on finding priors. Actuaries overall rather than random folks on Kazaa seem to be some of the most interested (and probably well funded group) working on human behavior. Yes regarding physics, chemistry, etc it is not relevant yet, do we, as human beings in their daily life outside the research lab, have much affordance on those?
Let’s make the work of actuaries more useful for ourselves (and yes eventually an AGI).
I would like to discuss the bayesian framework and AGI in relation to acturial “science” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Actuarial_science . The idea came from browsing Yudkowsky’s http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes with its “Fun fact” on finding priors. Actuaries overall rather than random folks on Kazaa seem to be some of the most interested (and probably well funded group) working on human behavior. Yes regarding physics, chemistry, etc it is not relevant yet, do we, as human beings in their daily life outside the research lab, have much affordance on those?
Let’s make the work of actuaries more useful for ourselves (and yes eventually an AGI).
PS: we could also discuss
http://lesswrong.com/lw/dvo/agi12_conference_in_oxford_in_december/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EF8tdXwa-AE
http://www.feasta.org/2012/06/17/trade-off-financial-system-supply-chain-cross-contagion-a-study-in-global-systemic-collapse/
http://www.quickmeme.com/Scumbag-Brain/
http://www.technologyreview.com/view/428729/mathematics-of-sudoku-leads-to-richter-scale-of/ related to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human-based_computation_game
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/08/software-runs-the-world-how-scared-should-we-be-that-so-much-is-bad/260846/
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2112614
Seems that the conclusion of http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/a3c/pooling_resources_for_valuable_actuarial/ were that it’s not that useful at the individual scale...