My angle here is not “there seems like there’s hope in this direction”, it’s that the discourse around this feels confused and unresolved and this is maybe creating some faultlines around which something tragic may happen later.
I’m not 100% sure if this actually cruxy for Paul/Buck/etc’s decisionmaking, but it seems part of an overall mosaic that is the difference between Eliezer and Nate saying “we’re doomed” and Paul/Buck etc saying “we may well be doomed or have some really-bad-but-not-doomed things happen”, and in some places that results in different high level strategies that may be subtly in conflict.
My angle here is not “there seems like there’s hope in this direction”, it’s that the discourse around this feels confused and unresolved and this is maybe creating some faultlines around which something tragic may happen later.
I’m not 100% sure if this actually cruxy for Paul/Buck/etc’s decisionmaking, but it seems part of an overall mosaic that is the difference between Eliezer and Nate saying “we’re doomed” and Paul/Buck etc saying “we may well be doomed or have some really-bad-but-not-doomed things happen”, and in some places that results in different high level strategies that may be subtly in conflict.