We can be virtually certain that 2+2=4 based on priors. This is because it’s true in the vast multitude of universes. In fact all the universes except the one universe that contains all the other universes. And I’m pretty sure that one doesn’t exist anyway.
We can be virtually certain that 2+2=4 based on priors.
I don’t understand this model. For me, 2+2=4 is an abstract analytic concept that is outside of bayesean probability. For others, it may be “just” a probability, about which they might be virtually certain about, but it won’t be on priors, it’ll be on mountains of evidence and literally zero counterevidence (presumably because every experience that contradicts it gets re-framed as having a different cause).
There’s no way to update on evidence outside of your light cone, let alone on theoretical other universes or containing universes. Because there’s no way to GET evidence from them.
I meant this as a joke since if there’s one universe that contains all the other universes since it isn’t limited by logic, and that one doesn’t exist then that would mean I don’t exist either and wouldn’t have been able to post this. (Unless I only sort-of exist in which case I’m only sort-of joking.)
We can be virtually certain that 2+2=4 based on priors. This is because it’s true in the vast multitude of universes. In fact all the universes except the one universe that contains all the other universes. And I’m pretty sure that one doesn’t exist anyway.
I don’t understand this model. For me, 2+2=4 is an abstract analytic concept that is outside of bayesean probability. For others, it may be “just” a probability, about which they might be virtually certain about, but it won’t be on priors, it’ll be on mountains of evidence and literally zero counterevidence (presumably because every experience that contradicts it gets re-framed as having a different cause).
There’s no way to update on evidence outside of your light cone, let alone on theoretical other universes or containing universes. Because there’s no way to GET evidence from them.
I meant this as a joke since if there’s one universe that contains all the other universes since it isn’t limited by logic, and that one doesn’t exist then that would mean I don’t exist either and wouldn’t have been able to post this. (Unless I only sort-of exist in which case I’m only sort-of joking.)