Ability to register bets that’s is linked to accounts. Leaderboards, offering and accepting bets, ability to assign arbiters etc
It would be cool to see and track various bets—LessWrong is the obvious platform
The issue with forecasting platforms is that for any one of them there is a huge chance they won’t be around irn 5 or 10 years which defeats the point of long term bets
EDIT: another feature we desperately need: right now if I’m logged in on the alignment forum it doesn’t show me the lesswrong comments. That’s okay & by design. However if would be good if it at least told me that there are LW comments on the alignmentForum post in the first place—that I may then decide to read or not read. It can be very confusing this way: finding a post without any comments that you could have sworn had more engagement last time you checked.
I’ve thought about integrating bets and predictions more into LessWrong. An alternate option is to integrate with existing prediction platforms to see people’s track record on Metaculus, PredictionBook, etc.
Desired feature for LessWrong:
Ability to register bets that’s is linked to accounts. Leaderboards, offering and accepting bets, ability to assign arbiters etc
It would be cool to see and track various bets—LessWrong is the obvious platform
The issue with forecasting platforms is that for any one of them there is a huge chance they won’t be around irn 5 or 10 years which defeats the point of long term bets
EDIT: another feature we desperately need: right now if I’m logged in on the alignment forum it doesn’t show me the lesswrong comments. That’s okay & by design. However if would be good if it at least told me that there are LW comments on the alignmentForum post in the first place—that I may then decide to read or not read. It can be very confusing this way: finding a post without any comments that you could have sworn had more engagement last time you checked.
I’ve thought about integrating bets and predictions more into LessWrong. An alternate option is to integrate with existing prediction platforms to see people’s track record on Metaculus, PredictionBook, etc.
Wooh!
I’m curious what your thoughts about the various options are ?