Schelling’s The Strategy of Conflict seems very relevant here; a major focus is precommitment as a bargaining tool. See here for an old review by cousin_it.
Iterated chicken seems fine to test, just as a spinoff of the IPD that maps to slightly different situations. (I believe that the iterated game of mutually modeling each other’s single-shot strategy is different from iterating the game itself, so I don’t think Abram’s post necessarily implies that iterated chicken is relevant to ASI blackmail solutions.)
Speaking of iterated games, one natural form of blackmail is for the blackmailee to pay an income stream to the blackmailer; that way, at each time-step they’re paying their fair price for the good of [not having their secret revealed between time t and time t+1]. Here’s a well-cited paper that discusses this idea in the context of nuclear brinksmanship: Schwarz & Sonin 2007.
Schelling’s The Strategy of Conflict seems very relevant here; a major focus is precommitment as a bargaining tool. See here for an old review by cousin_it.
Iterated chicken seems fine to test, just as a spinoff of the IPD that maps to slightly different situations. (I believe that the iterated game of mutually modeling each other’s single-shot strategy is different from iterating the game itself, so I don’t think Abram’s post necessarily implies that iterated chicken is relevant to ASI blackmail solutions.)
Speaking of iterated games, one natural form of blackmail is for the blackmailee to pay an income stream to the blackmailer; that way, at each time-step they’re paying their fair price for the good of [not having their secret revealed between time t and time t+1]. Here’s a well-cited paper that discusses this idea in the context of nuclear brinksmanship: Schwarz & Sonin 2007.