But in this case, someone with a degree of astronomical knowledge comparable to yours, acting in good faith, has come up to you and has said “I’m 99% confident that a meteor will hit your house today. You should leave.” Why not investigate his claim before dismissing it?
The original post specifies that even taking account of the other doctor’s opinion, we’re still 99% sure. This seems pretty unlikely, unless we know that the other doctor is really very rationally deficient, but it’s the scenario we’re discussing.
But in this case, someone with a degree of astronomical knowledge comparable to yours, acting in good faith, has come up to you and has said “I’m 99% confident that a meteor will hit your house today. You should leave.” Why not investigate his claim before dismissing it?
The original post specifies that even taking account of the other doctor’s opinion, we’re still 99% sure. This seems pretty unlikely, unless we know that the other doctor is really very rationally deficient, but it’s the scenario we’re discussing.