Based on the language you’ve used in this post, it seems like you’ve tried several arguments in succession, none of them have worked, and you’re not sure why.
One possibility might be to first focus on understanding his belief as well as possible, and then once you understand his conclusions and why he’s reached them, you might have more luck. Maybe taking a look at Street Epistemology for some tips on this style of inquiry would help.
(It is also worth turning this lens upon yourself, and asking why is it so important to you that your friend believes that AGI is immiment? Then you can decide whether it’s worth continuing to try to persuade him.)
Based on the language you’ve used in this post, it seems like you’ve tried several arguments in succession, none of them have worked, and you’re not sure why.
One possibility might be to first focus on understanding his belief as well as possible, and then once you understand his conclusions and why he’s reached them, you might have more luck. Maybe taking a look at Street Epistemology for some tips on this style of inquiry would help.
(It is also worth turning this lens upon yourself, and asking why is it so important to you that your friend believes that AGI is immiment? Then you can decide whether it’s worth continuing to try to persuade him.)