My intent was less to imply p(the sun will rise forever), but rather that the p(the sun will rise tommorrow) will eventually be very wrong. Of course as you mention the sun would start to look weird which should trigger uncertainty, but that is more the particulars of the example, than the spirit of the thought experiment behind it imo.
My intent was less to imply p(the sun will rise forever), but rather that the p(the sun will rise tommorrow) will eventually be very wrong. Of course as you mention the sun would start to look weird which should trigger uncertainty, but that is more the particulars of the example, than the spirit of the thought experiment behind it imo.