No, I was actually Pascal’s Mugging him. And you. Show them Pepes, mister. Pascal’s Mugger is defined as “a guy who is almost certainly lying extorts you for rare Pepes by promising extreme utility values”. Just by making the offer, I become a very real instance of Pascal’s Mugger.
Similar offers happen every day. Every time a Mormon knocks on your door (or a JW if you’re a Mormon), you have to reason about extreme utility values. And of course “genuine high utility+low probability decisions are unlikely to occur naturally”! They are by definition.
No, I was actually Pascal’s Mugging him. And you. Show them Pepes, mister. Pascal’s Mugger is defined as “a guy who is almost certainly lying extorts you for rare Pepes by promising extreme utility values”. Just by making the offer, I become a very real instance of Pascal’s Mugger.
Similar offers happen every day. Every time a Mormon knocks on your door (or a JW if you’re a Mormon), you have to reason about extreme utility values. And of course “genuine high utility+low probability decisions are unlikely to occur naturally”! They are by definition.