Eliezer, I’m offering you double the odds at 75:1, and would put up to $50k against your corresponding amount. If the UFO phenomenon is real, p(doom) may be much lower than you think, and in this view you’d probably be happy to pay it out.
Unless, of course, those UAPs turn up, and don’t have biological organisms in them, in which case we’d have the possibility that another civilization developed AI and it went poorly.
...or it is biological and we end up in a situation like 3 body problem/killing-star where the saucer fiends decide to gank us because humans are kinda violent and too dangerous to keep around.
All those super-intelligence as danger arguments also apply to biological super intelligences too.
But most likely: There are no damn UFOs and the laws of physics and their big ugly light speed prohibition still holds.
Received.
Eliezer, I’m offering you double the odds at 75:1, and would put up to $50k against your corresponding amount. If the UFO phenomenon is real, p(doom) may be much lower than you think, and in this view you’d probably be happy to pay it out.
Unless, of course, those UAPs turn up, and don’t have biological organisms in them, in which case we’d have the possibility that another civilization developed AI and it went poorly.
...or it is biological and we end up in a situation like 3 body problem/killing-star where the saucer fiends decide to gank us because humans are kinda violent and too dangerous to keep around.
All those super-intelligence as danger arguments also apply to biological super intelligences too.
But most likely: There are no damn UFOs and the laws of physics and their big ugly light speed prohibition still holds.