NIST cautions of using bayes for weighting in legal forensics
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2017-10/nios-nuc101217.php
“Bayesian theory does not support using an expert’s opinion, even when expressed numerically, as a universal weight of evidence. Among different ways of presenting information, it has not been shown that LR is most appropriate.”
They recommend using LR only in cases where a probability-based model is warranted.
Well, yeah.
NIST cautions of using bayes for weighting in legal forensics
https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2017-10/nios-nuc101217.php
“Bayesian theory does not support using an expert’s opinion, even when expressed numerically, as a universal weight of evidence. Among different ways of presenting information, it has not been shown that LR is most appropriate.”
Well, yeah.