Ironically, I disagree a bit with lukeprog here—one of the few flaws I think I detect in the Sequences is due to Eliezer not having read enough philosophy. He does arrive at a predictivist theory of confirmation eventually, but it takes more effort and gear-grinding than it would have if he had understood Peirce’s 1878 demonstration and expressed it in clearer language.
Ironically, I disagree a bit with lukeprog here—one of the few flaws I think I detect in the Sequences is due to Eliezer not having read enough philosophy. He does arrive at a predictivist theory of confirmation eventually, but it takes more effort and gear-grinding than it would have if he had understood Peirce’s 1878 demonstration and expressed it in clearer language.
Ah well. It’s a minor flaw.