I also note that I’m looking afresh at many of my backburner post ideas, since getting them out before the end of December would mean they’d be available for review in 2020 instead of 2021.
One of the original seeds of the review idea came from a blogpost I once read arguing that the Oscars should be given out multiple years (preferably more like a decade) after a movie comes out, rather than the immediately next year. This would give the awards a benefit of hindsight, and “okay, but which movies do you actually still like a decade later.” It’s also remove the weird incentive for “Oscarworthy” movies to come out in Nov/Dec.
I didn’t think it made sense to do a full decade for the LW Review, because then you’d either go all the way back to the golden age (where, well, you have the sequences), or if you did a half-decade, you’d have the Dark Times, where there wasn’t all that much interesting stuff going on. But, I still thought doing a full year would be enough to get some of the same effect.
But, if around December people are like “oh shit my blogpost that I think is actually going to be really good… I should write that now so I only have to wait one year!”, that’s (somewhat) amusing way to accidentally introduce “Oscar Season Bias” again.
Note that the gap of a year cuts out a lot of recency bias, and I think availability favors posts in January (since some people will think they’re going to go through all of 2018 in chronological order, and then maybe run out of steam at some point). So if all you cared about was winning, I think you’d actually want it to come out in January instead.
Yeah, I think getting rid of the recency bias is still good for exactly the reasons I’d intended, just amusing if there still turned out to be an “Oscar Season” anyway.
I also note that I’m looking afresh at many of my backburner post ideas, since getting them out before the end of December would mean they’d be available for review in 2020 instead of 2021.
Hah. That’s surprisingly amusing.
One of the original seeds of the review idea came from a blogpost I once read arguing that the Oscars should be given out multiple years (preferably more like a decade) after a movie comes out, rather than the immediately next year. This would give the awards a benefit of hindsight, and “okay, but which movies do you actually still like a decade later.” It’s also remove the weird incentive for “Oscarworthy” movies to come out in Nov/Dec.
I didn’t think it made sense to do a full decade for the LW Review, because then you’d either go all the way back to the golden age (where, well, you have the sequences), or if you did a half-decade, you’d have the Dark Times, where there wasn’t all that much interesting stuff going on. But, I still thought doing a full year would be enough to get some of the same effect.
But, if around December people are like “oh shit my blogpost that I think is actually going to be really good… I should write that now so I only have to wait one year!”, that’s (somewhat) amusing way to accidentally introduce “Oscar Season Bias” again.
Note that the gap of a year cuts out a lot of recency bias, and I think availability favors posts in January (since some people will think they’re going to go through all of 2018 in chronological order, and then maybe run out of steam at some point). So if all you cared about was winning, I think you’d actually want it to come out in January instead.
Yeah, I think getting rid of the recency bias is still good for exactly the reasons I’d intended, just amusing if there still turned out to be an “Oscar Season” anyway.