One of the heuristics you see in the business world that attempt to get at this is the “5 Whys?” It’s very easy to look at some graph- stock value, sales, whatever- and create a just-so answer for why something is the way it is. It’s a lot harder but more useful to go ahead and interrogate the just-so answer again.
Of course, the hardness of doing a “5 Whys?” exercise is also the reason that nobody does it unless they’re getting paid to or they’ve joined an online cult of critical thinking.
One of the heuristics you see in the business world that attempt to get at this is the “5 Whys?” It’s very easy to look at some graph- stock value, sales, whatever- and create a just-so answer for why something is the way it is. It’s a lot harder but more useful to go ahead and interrogate the just-so answer again.
Of course, the hardness of doing a “5 Whys?” exercise is also the reason that nobody does it unless they’re getting paid to or they’ve joined an online cult of critical thinking.