How would you test that the FAE leads to in average better judgments ?
And better than what ? Eliminating the FAE does not mean only considering external factors either, or you’d have another bias.
I cannot imagine a formal way to test the accuracy of FAE.
From a “better” perspective, I lean towards the perspective that a hypothesis about somebody’s personality is almost always more useful than a hypothesis about somebody’s situation. Somebody else’s personality is something I have to interact with; somebody else’s situation is not. I can update inaccurate profiles of personalities based on further information, so I don’t see a significant cost to inaccurate profiles.
How would you test that the FAE leads to in average better judgments ? And better than what ? Eliminating the FAE does not mean only considering external factors either, or you’d have another bias.
I cannot imagine a formal way to test the accuracy of FAE.
From a “better” perspective, I lean towards the perspective that a hypothesis about somebody’s personality is almost always more useful than a hypothesis about somebody’s situation. Somebody else’s personality is something I have to interact with; somebody else’s situation is not. I can update inaccurate profiles of personalities based on further information, so I don’t see a significant cost to inaccurate profiles.