95% is a lower bound. It’s more than 95% for all numbers and approaches 95% as n gets bigger. If n=2 (E.G. a coin flip), then you actually have a 98.4% chance of at least one success after 3n (which is 6) attempts.
I mentioned this in the “What I’m not saying” section, but this limit converges rather quickly. I would consider any n≥4 to be “close enough”
95% is a lower bound. It’s more than 95% for all numbers and approaches 95% as n gets bigger. If n=2 (E.G. a coin flip), then you actually have a 98.4% chance of at least one success after 3n (which is 6) attempts.
I mentioned this in the “What I’m not saying” section, but this limit converges rather quickly. I would consider any n≥4 to be “close enough”