Eliezer, I grasp the obvious utility of probability—I pay for a variety of insurance policies, after all. But there are many claims (many of which you share with us on a daily basis) that you treat as having a probability of 1. About those claims, I find your assertion that you do not “believe” them to be a purely verbal distinction.
Eliezer, I grasp the obvious utility of probability—I pay for a variety of insurance policies, after all. But there are many claims (many of which you share with us on a daily basis) that you treat as having a probability of 1. About those claims, I find your assertion that you do not “believe” them to be a purely verbal distinction.