I am not sure if your analogy works as you are making only one interpretation of the change in status from “just-so conjecture” to “plausible testable hypothesis”.
This move could also provide explanatory power to the listener - not just that it is now plausible science (but not actually yet performed) - but that you have helped them see how the “hunter motionless for his prey” and “the frozen male fridge user” could be operating under similar psychological (or evolutionary or both) antecedent conditions. This is, of course, the whole point of your insight in the first place but because it now, ex post, appears obvious to you does not mean this is so in the listener. Your plausible hypothesis is an additional explanation to help them understand your argument better. In particular, you have shown with your move how your conjecture could be wrong and this is additional information and also contrary to “just-so” arguments. So the change in Bayesian weighting could come from better comprehension rather than because of the label “science” being attached.
You need a way of differentiating these two interpretations but, unscientifically :-) I agree with the your main point, making something appear scientific is a rhetorical move and should not alter one’s expectations, just find a better example!
I am not sure if your analogy works as you are making only one interpretation of the change in status from “just-so conjecture” to “plausible testable hypothesis”.
This move could also provide explanatory power to the listener - not just that it is now plausible science (but not actually yet performed) - but that you have helped them see how the “hunter motionless for his prey” and “the frozen male fridge user” could be operating under similar psychological (or evolutionary or both) antecedent conditions. This is, of course, the whole point of your insight in the first place but because it now, ex post, appears obvious to you does not mean this is so in the listener. Your plausible hypothesis is an additional explanation to help them understand your argument better. In particular, you have shown with your move how your conjecture could be wrong and this is additional information and also contrary to “just-so” arguments. So the change in Bayesian weighting could come from better comprehension rather than because of the label “science” being attached.
You need a way of differentiating these two interpretations but, unscientifically :-) I agree with the your main point, making something appear scientific is a rhetorical move and should not alter one’s expectations, just find a better example!