This article claims the New York law affects 75% of the workforce.
What percentage should be considered “essential business” for purposes of maintaining longterm supply chains? California lists “critical manufacturing” as an essential industry but I wouldn’t be that surprised if it turned out to be missing pieces that turn out to be important for longterm functioning.
What fraction of jobs currently “can’t be remote”, but which could become remote with retooling?
I know one person who’s already been laid off. I suspect there should be numbers somewhere we can look for how many people were laid off in the first 2 weeks, which may give us some inkling of what’s to come.
What percentage of the economy is “essential business?”, according to most shelter-in-place laws?
Ballpark: 40m, out of 160m total.
I made a spreadsheet, using the CA definition but numbers for all of the US. It’s not perfect- some industries I couldn’t find at all (communications is the biggest blank space), the divisions used by the statistics don’t map perfectly to the divisions used by the CA definitions, most numbers are from 2018, etc. But it’s a start.
UChicago professors use survey data to estimate 1⁄3 of jobs can be done at home, accounting for 44% of payroll. See here, scroll down to “How Many Jobs Can Be Done At Home?”
Some questions that seem relevant to my overall model here:
What percentage of the economy is “essential business?”, according to most shelter-in-place laws?
Seems like a fairly large number of businesses are essential according to california law, large enough that counting it up manually would be a pretty big project.
This article claims the New York law affects 75% of the workforce.
What percentage should be considered “essential business” for purposes of maintaining longterm supply chains? California lists “critical manufacturing” as an essential industry but I wouldn’t be that surprised if it turned out to be missing pieces that turn out to be important for longterm functioning.
What fraction of jobs currently “can’t be remote”, but which could become remote with retooling?
I know one person who’s already been laid off. I suspect there should be numbers somewhere we can look for how many people were laid off in the first 2 weeks, which may give us some inkling of what’s to come.
Ballpark: 40m, out of 160m total.
I made a spreadsheet, using the CA definition but numbers for all of the US. It’s not perfect- some industries I couldn’t find at all (communications is the biggest blank space), the divisions used by the statistics don’t map perfectly to the divisions used by the CA definitions, most numbers are from 2018, etc. But it’s a start.
3.3m people filed for unemployment insurance in America in the last week. The previous record was 700k in 1982, when the population was 230m
UChicago professors use survey data to estimate 1⁄3 of jobs can be done at home, accounting for 44% of payroll. See here, scroll down to “How Many Jobs Can Be Done At Home?”