See the discussion in §6 of the paper. There are too many variations to run, but it at least shows that the result doesn’t depend on knowing the long-run frequency is 50%; if we’re uncertain about both the long-run hit rate and about the degree of shiftiness (or whether it’s shifty at all), the results still hold.
See the discussion in §6 of the paper. There are too many variations to run, but it at least shows that the result doesn’t depend on knowing the long-run frequency is 50%; if we’re uncertain about both the long-run hit rate and about the degree of shiftiness (or whether it’s shifty at all), the results still hold.
Does that help?