I think that we should be taking the possibility of UFOs more seriously. Over the last year, I’ve updated from thinking that UFOs are laughable to thinking there’s a 10-20% chance of actual alien visitation, and about another 10-20% of something else important going on. (Ie someone—presumably China—has either made a huge leap in drone technology or is getting good at spoofing multiple US military systems simultaneously.)
Why? Because a number of senior and generally sane people seem to be taking this seriously. The US military forces in particular are seeing a number of cases of unidentified phenomena—not just aerial, also submarine—where they see things that look like craft that have capabilities not currently possible with modern technology. Some of these things like the 2004 USS Nimitzincident have been captured on multiple systems like the ship’s radar, and aircraft cameras and visually spotted by the pilots. The former Direction of National Intelligence has said recently that there are a lot more sightings which haven’t been made public.
Yes, I know there are still other explanations, and the track record suggests sightings will turn out to be some kind of optical illusion or something, but I’m open to the possibility that not every incident is explicable in terrestrial terms.
The link below is a good long-form read which argues that the US Department of Defence is taking the possibility seriously.
I would say the UFO thing is different because the defence people are reporting physical phenomena which they can’t explain. So far as I know, the CIA didn’t have evidence that ESP worked and subsequently decide to investigate it, rather someone persuaded them to spend some money looking for evidence (which they didn’t find). The UFO reports give the impression that the DoD didn’t want to take them seriously but they got smacked in the face by enough evidence that they didn’t have much choice.
Again, I’m not saying it’s definitely something weird. But if there’s a one-third chance the UFO reports are from something interesting, isn’t it worth investigating? Remember that aliens are only one of the interesting possibilities. The other ones are that China/Russia/someone has either made a big leap ahead in technology; or has figured out how to spoof multiple US military systems and is testing their abilities by generating UFO sightings. Or the third option, something we haven’t even thought of.
I think that we should be taking the possibility of UFOs more seriously. Over the last year, I’ve updated from thinking that UFOs are laughable to thinking there’s a 10-20% chance of actual alien visitation, and about another 10-20% of something else important going on. (Ie someone—presumably China—has either made a huge leap in drone technology or is getting good at spoofing multiple US military systems simultaneously.)
Why? Because a number of senior and generally sane people seem to be taking this seriously. The US military forces in particular are seeing a number of cases of unidentified phenomena—not just aerial, also submarine—where they see things that look like craft that have capabilities not currently possible with modern technology. Some of these things like the 2004 USS Nimitz incident have been captured on multiple systems like the ship’s radar, and aircraft cameras and visually spotted by the pilots. The former Direction of National Intelligence has said recently that there are a lot more sightings which haven’t been made public.
Yes, I know there are still other explanations, and the track record suggests sightings will turn out to be some kind of optical illusion or something, but I’m open to the possibility that not every incident is explicable in terrestrial terms.
The link below is a good long-form read which argues that the US Department of Defence is taking the possibility seriously.
https://www.thedebrief.org/fast-movers-and-transmedium-vehicles-the-pentagons-uap-task-force/
How is that different than say the CIA taking ESP seriously, MKULTRA etc?
I would say the UFO thing is different because the defence people are reporting physical phenomena which they can’t explain. So far as I know, the CIA didn’t have evidence that ESP worked and subsequently decide to investigate it, rather someone persuaded them to spend some money looking for evidence (which they didn’t find). The UFO reports give the impression that the DoD didn’t want to take them seriously but they got smacked in the face by enough evidence that they didn’t have much choice.
Again, I’m not saying it’s definitely something weird. But if there’s a one-third chance the UFO reports are from something interesting, isn’t it worth investigating? Remember that aliens are only one of the interesting possibilities. The other ones are that China/Russia/someone has either made a big leap ahead in technology; or has figured out how to spoof multiple US military systems and is testing their abilities by generating UFO sightings. Or the third option, something we haven’t even thought of.