I said not receiving a CD from the future is the most likely because that’s what usually happens. But I do have a pretty huge sampling bias of mainly talking to people who don’t have time machines.
i would expect “no CD” to be the most common even if you do have one, just because I feel like a closed time loop should take some effort to start. But this is probably a generalization from fiction, since if they happen in the real universe they do “just happen” with no previous cause. So I guess I can’t support it well enough to justify my intuition. I will say that if I’m wrong about this, any time traveller should be prepared for these to happen all the time on totally trivial things.
I wasn’t reasoning under NSCP, just trying to pick holes in cousin_it’s model.
Though I’m interested in knowing why you think that one outcome is “more likely” than any other. What determines that?
I said not receiving a CD from the future is the most likely because that’s what usually happens. But I do have a pretty huge sampling bias of mainly talking to people who don’t have time machines.
i would expect “no CD” to be the most common even if you do have one, just because I feel like a closed time loop should take some effort to start. But this is probably a generalization from fiction, since if they happen in the real universe they do “just happen” with no previous cause. So I guess I can’t support it well enough to justify my intuition. I will say that if I’m wrong about this, any time traveller should be prepared for these to happen all the time on totally trivial things.