Nice resource! It reminds me about the Chapter 3 of Adventures in Cognitive Biases.
Is there anything similar to The Credence Calibration Game but works online and has some recent facts?
It would be cool to be able to replay some closed Metaculus questions and see how well would you do against that!
The Clearer Thinking Calibrate Your Judgement tool seems worth checking out.
https://www.clearerthinking.org/post/2019/10/16/practice-making-accurate-predictions-with-our-new-tool
Nice resource! It reminds me about the Chapter 3 of Adventures in Cognitive Biases.
Is there anything similar to The Credence Calibration Game but works online and has some recent facts?
It would be cool to be able to replay some closed Metaculus questions and see how well would you do against that!
The Clearer Thinking Calibrate Your Judgement tool seems worth checking out.
https://www.clearerthinking.org/post/2019/10/16/practice-making-accurate-predictions-with-our-new-tool