Biowarfare won’t kill everyone. Nuclear war won’t kill everyone. Anthropogenic global warming won’t kill everyone. At worst, these will destroy civilization which, counterintuitively, makes Homo sapiens more likely to survive on the short term (century). The same goes for minor natural disasters like volcanic eruptions.
Natural disasters like giant meteors, or perhaps a gamma ray burst, are unlikely. The last time something like that happened was 66 million years ago. The odds of something similar happening in the next century are on the order of 2×10−6. That’s small enough to ignore for the purposes of this bet. The only way everyone dies is via AI
Strongly agreed with this. The only non-infinitesimal probability of human extinction comes from an alien intelligence (like AI) actively pursuing the goal of human extinction.
Strongly agreed with this. The only non-infinitesimal probability of human extinction comes from an alien intelligence (like AI) actively pursuing the goal of human extinction.
Some not totally tiny chance on humans pursuing human extinction using say, advanced nanotech.
Admitted.