“There are lawful forms of thought that still generate the best response, even when faced with an opponent who breaks those laws”
I’ve only just come to the Bayesian way of thought, so please direct me to the correct answer if I’m not thinking about this right:
If I and my opponent are of equal training, rationality, abilty, and intellect, except that my opponent has a 10% chance of doing something completely at odds with rationality as we both understand it due to some mental damage: how should I plan to face him?
If I have plan A to deal with his plan A, plan B to deal with his plan B, and so on (as close as I am capable of discerning them), is there a rational way to deal with this unpredictable element, and how do I determine how much of my resources to spend on this plan?
That is: how do I plan in the face of the unpredictable, especially in cases where I do not have the resources to cover every eventuality?
“There are lawful forms of thought that still generate the best response, even when faced with an opponent who breaks those laws”
I’ve only just come to the Bayesian way of thought, so please direct me to the correct answer if I’m not thinking about this right:
If I and my opponent are of equal training, rationality, abilty, and intellect, except that my opponent has a 10% chance of doing something completely at odds with rationality as we both understand it due to some mental damage: how should I plan to face him?
If I have plan A to deal with his plan A, plan B to deal with his plan B, and so on (as close as I am capable of discerning them), is there a rational way to deal with this unpredictable element, and how do I determine how much of my resources to spend on this plan?
That is: how do I plan in the face of the unpredictable, especially in cases where I do not have the resources to cover every eventuality?