By guilty, do we mean “committed or significantly contributed to the murder”?
Or do we mean “committed or significantly contributed to the murder AND there is enough evidence showing that to satisfy the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt (or Italian equivalent) standard of proof for murder”?
The comments don’t seem to make that distinction, but I think it could make a big difference.
I interpreted it as ‘how would you vote if you were on the jury’, which implies ‘guilty beyond reasonable doubt’ under the legal systems I’m familiar with. I don’t know if the standard is any different in Italy.
I agree that that’s one reasonable interpretation.
I just want to emphasize that that standard is very different than the weaker “if I had to guess, I would say that the person actually committed the crime.” The first standard is higher. Also, the law might forbid you from considering certain facts/evidence, even if you know in the back of your mind that the evidence is there and suggestive. There are probably other differences between the standards that I’m not thinking of.
By guilty, do we mean “committed or significantly contributed to the murder”?
Or do we mean “committed or significantly contributed to the murder AND there is enough evidence showing that to satisfy the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt (or Italian equivalent) standard of proof for murder”?
The comments don’t seem to make that distinction, but I think it could make a big difference.
probability = probability of having committed murder, not probability of sufficient evidence
I interpreted it as ‘how would you vote if you were on the jury’, which implies ‘guilty beyond reasonable doubt’ under the legal systems I’m familiar with. I don’t know if the standard is any different in Italy.
I agree that that’s one reasonable interpretation.
I just want to emphasize that that standard is very different than the weaker “if I had to guess, I would say that the person actually committed the crime.” The first standard is higher. Also, the law might forbid you from considering certain facts/evidence, even if you know in the back of your mind that the evidence is there and suggestive. There are probably other differences between the standards that I’m not thinking of.