Solid analysis and an exploratory comment in thinking about the future of AI safety researchers.
I find it striking how many well-known organizations working on AI safety were founded very recently. This trend suggests that some of the most influential AI safety organizations will be founded in the future.
In various winner take all scenarios, being early at the right time is often more important than being truly “the best.” I’m modestly confident this will be true for capabilities but unsure if this will be true for AI safety organizations.
I think this matters in thinking about where the ~1000 future AI safety researchers will be employed and what research agendas are being pursued. My low-confidence guess for the future distribution would be a slightly higher n vs today with a higher average of researchers-per-organization vs today.
Solid analysis and an exploratory comment in thinking about the future of AI safety researchers.
In various winner take all scenarios, being early at the right time is often more important than being truly “the best.” I’m modestly confident this will be true for capabilities but unsure if this will be true for AI safety organizations.
I think this matters in thinking about where the ~1000 future AI safety researchers will be employed and what research agendas are being pursued. My low-confidence guess for the future distribution would be a slightly higher n vs today with a higher average of researchers-per-organization vs today.