but I feel I should point out that even if some of those things were true waking up one way does not preclude waking up one or more of the other ways in addition to that.
You’re right. I should have said “make it more likely”, not “make sure”.
Same reason I don’t believe in god. As yet we have ~zero evidence for being in a simulation.
You’re right. I should have said “make it more likely”, not “make sure”.
Your odds of waking up in the hands of someone extremely unfriendly is unchanged. You’re just making it more likely that one fork of yourself might wake up in friendly hands.
As yet we have ~zero evidence for being in a simulation.
We have evidence (albeit no “smoking-gun evidence”) for eternal inflation, we have evidence for a flat and thus infinite universe, string theory is right now our best guess at what the theory of everything is like; these all predict a multiverse where everything possible happens and where somebody should thus be expected to simulate you.
Your odds of waking up in the hands of someone extremely unfriendly is unchanged. You’re just making it more likely that one fork of yourself might wake up in friendly hands.
Well, I think that qualifies. Our language is a bit inadequate for discussing situations with multiple future selves.
I find that about as convincing as “if you see a watch there must be a watchmaker” style arguments.
I don’t see the similarity here.
There are a number of ways theorized to test if we’re in various kinds of simulation and so far they’ve all turned up negative.
Oh?
String theory is famously bad at being usable to predict even mundane things even if it is elegant and “flat” is not the same as “infinite”.
It basically makes no new testable predictions right now. Doesn’t mean that it won’t do so in the future. (I have no opinion about string theory myself, but a lot of physicists do see it as promising. Some don’t. As far as I know, we currently know of no good alternative that’s less weird.)
You mean none of what I mentioned? Why not?
You’re right. I should have said “make it more likely”, not “make sure”.
Same reason I don’t believe in god. As yet we have ~zero evidence for being in a simulation.
Your odds of waking up in the hands of someone extremely unfriendly is unchanged. You’re just making it more likely that one fork of yourself might wake up in friendly hands.
We have evidence (albeit no “smoking-gun evidence”) for eternal inflation, we have evidence for a flat and thus infinite universe, string theory is right now our best guess at what the theory of everything is like; these all predict a multiverse where everything possible happens and where somebody should thus be expected to simulate you.
Well, I think that qualifies. Our language is a bit inadequate for discussing situations with multiple future selves.
I find that about as convincing as “if you see a watch there must be a watchmaker” style arguments.
There are a number of ways theorized to test if we’re in various kinds of simulation and so far they’ve all turned up negative.
String theory is famously bad at being usable to predict even mundane things even if it is elegant and “flat” is not the same as “infinite”.
I don’t see the similarity here.
Oh?
It basically makes no new testable predictions right now. Doesn’t mean that it won’t do so in the future. (I have no opinion about string theory myself, but a lot of physicists do see it as promising. Some don’t. As far as I know, we currently know of no good alternative that’s less weird.)