The real world is extremely messy, stochastic, and disordered, and doesn’t map well into the type of problems that recent advances in AI have been good at solving.
The recent advances in AI have not produced AGIs.
AlphaFold is essentially a tool. It’s not a replacement for the current scientists in the way an AGI that’s much smarter then the current scientists would be.
You misunderstood my intent of that statement. I was saying that AGI wouldn’t be smarter or more capable than the current scientists in solving these particular problems for a very long time, even if architecturally it is able to attack the same problems more efficiently. It’s not enough of a constrained problem that a computer running in a box is able to replace the role of humans, not at least until it has human-level effectors to allow it to embody itself in the real world.
AGI wouldn’t be categorically different from present day AI. It’s just an AI for writing AI (hence, “general”), but the AI’s it writes are still constrained in much the same way as the AI that we write today. If there is some reason for not believing this would be the case, it is so-far unstated.
The recent advances in AI have not produced AGIs.
AlphaFold is essentially a tool. It’s not a replacement for the current scientists in the way an AGI that’s much smarter then the current scientists would be.
You misunderstood my intent of that statement. I was saying that AGI wouldn’t be smarter or more capable than the current scientists in solving these particular problems for a very long time, even if architecturally it is able to attack the same problems more efficiently. It’s not enough of a constrained problem that a computer running in a box is able to replace the role of humans, not at least until it has human-level effectors to allow it to embody itself in the real world.
AGI wouldn’t be categorically different from present day AI. It’s just an AI for writing AI (hence, “general”), but the AI’s it writes are still constrained in much the same way as the AI that we write today. If there is some reason for not believing this would be the case, it is so-far unstated.