Sure, it’s a lot compared to most activities, but it’s not a lot compared to the total people who could live in the future lightcone. You have to be clear what you’re comparing to when you say something is large.
My estimate? Oh I dunno. The future is hard to predict, and crazy shit happens by default. But currently I’d be more surprised if it didn’t happen than if it did. So more than 50%, for 50 years. Also more than 50% for 30 years. My guess is there’s a lot of very scalable and valuable products to be made with ML, which will put all the smart people and smart money in the world into improving ML, which is a very powerful force. Shrug. I’d have to think more to try to pin it down more.
Sure, it’s a lot compared to most activities, but it’s not a lot compared to the total people who could live in the future lightcone. You have to be clear what you’re comparing to when you say something is large.
My estimate? Oh I dunno. The future is hard to predict, and crazy shit happens by default. But currently I’d be more surprised if it didn’t happen than if it did. So more than 50%, for 50 years. Also more than 50% for 30 years. My guess is there’s a lot of very scalable and valuable products to be made with ML, which will put all the smart people and smart money in the world into improving ML, which is a very powerful force. Shrug. I’d have to think more to try to pin it down more.