Like all Pascal-wager-like arguments, it’s extremely sensitive to relative sizes of low-evidence very-small-absolute-magnitude probability estimates. My expectation is that it will always be an error to give significant weight to truly acausal (as opposed to distantly-causal) considerations in real actions in our universe.
Like all Pascal-wager-like arguments, it’s extremely sensitive to relative sizes of low-evidence very-small-absolute-magnitude probability estimates. My expectation is that it will always be an error to give significant weight to truly acausal (as opposed to distantly-causal) considerations in real actions in our universe.