If you think nationalization is near and the default, you shouldn’t try to build projects and hope they get scooped into the nationalized thing. You should try to directly influence the policy apparatus through writing, speaking on podcasts, and getting to know officials in the agencies most likely to be in charge of that.
(Note: not a huge fan of nationalization myself due to red-queen’s-race concerns)
You can do the writing, but if you have a useful product and connect with those who are within the agencies, you are in a position where you have built a team and infrastructure for several years with the purpose of getting pulled into the nationalization project. You likely get most of the value by just keeping close ties with others within government while also have built a ready-to-use solution that can prevent the government from rushing out a worse version of what you’ve built.
I think it’s important to see AI Safety as a collective effort rather than one person’s decision (of working inside or out of government).
I think I am very doubtful of the ability of outsiders to correctly predict—especially outsiders new to government contracting—what the government might pull in. I’d love to be wrong, though! Someone should try it, and I think I was probably too definitive in my comment above.
Yes, but this is similar to usual startups, it’s a calculated bet you are making. So you expect some of the people to try this will fail, but investors hope one of them will be a unicorn.
If you think nationalization is near and the default, you shouldn’t try to build projects and hope they get scooped into the nationalized thing. You should try to directly influence the policy apparatus through writing, speaking on podcasts, and getting to know officials in the agencies most likely to be in charge of that.
(Note: not a huge fan of nationalization myself due to red-queen’s-race concerns)
You can do the writing, but if you have a useful product and connect with those who are within the agencies, you are in a position where you have built a team and infrastructure for several years with the purpose of getting pulled into the nationalization project. You likely get most of the value by just keeping close ties with others within government while also have built a ready-to-use solution that can prevent the government from rushing out a worse version of what you’ve built.
I think it’s important to see AI Safety as a collective effort rather than one person’s decision (of working inside or out of government).
I think I am very doubtful of the ability of outsiders to correctly predict—especially outsiders new to government contracting—what the government might pull in. I’d love to be wrong, though! Someone should try it, and I think I was probably too definitive in my comment above.
Yes, but this is similar to usual startups, it’s a calculated bet you are making. So you expect some of the people to try this will fail, but investors hope one of them will be a unicorn.