The color experiment is different: it’s about asking people to do something they don’t know how to do, and then somehow interpreting that as a bias.
Setting that aside, it’s putting people in an artificial situation that they don’t understand well and getting them to make a guess at the answer. This doesn’t simulate real life well.
This is exhausting. Whatever this “real life” of yours is, it’s so boring, predictable, and uniform as to be not worth living. Who hasn’t had to adapt to new (yes, even “artificial”) situations before? Who hasn’t played a game? Who hasn’t bet on the outcome of an event?
Propose an experiment already. My patience is waning.
Yes. If there’s no way to test your claim that systemic pseudoscientific practice brought about the conjunction fallacy, how can we know?
I have something like a thirty percent chance of correctly determining whether or not you will judge a given experimental design to be biased. Therefore I surely can’t do it.
We should just believe the best experiment anyone did, even if it’s no good?
I don’t know of any experiment that would be any good. I think the experiments of this kind should stop, pending a new idea about how to do fundamentally better ones.
This is exhausting. Whatever this “real life” of yours is, it’s so boring, predictable, and uniform as to be not worth living. Who hasn’t had to adapt to new (yes, even “artificial”) situations before? Who hasn’t played a game? Who hasn’t bet on the outcome of an event?
Propose an experiment already. My patience is waning.
EDIT: I have, in fact, read the 1983 paper.
You think I have to propose a better experiment? We should just believe the best experiment anyone did, even if it’s no good?
Yes. If there’s no way to test your claim that systemic pseudoscientific practice brought about the conjunction fallacy, how can we know?
I have something like a thirty percent chance of correctly determining whether or not you will judge a given experimental design to be biased. Therefore I surely can’t do it.
No. Of course not.
Ceterum censeo propose an experiment already.
I don’t know of any experiment that would be any good. I think the experiments of this kind should stop, pending a new idea about how to do fundamentally better ones.
Then we’re in invisible dragon territory. I can safely ignore it.