The risk of death from covid after vaccination is near zero and this seems to be the case despite the variants
This seems to be true, but this doesn’t obviously imply the risk of long COVID is significantly decreased. As far as I’m aware, no one has really studied this. On priors I’d guess that vaccines help a bunch, but I don’t understand what’s going on here very well.
And I think this is an important question, long COVID seems to represent a lot of the harm of COVID to young people. If case rates in your area aren’t that low, this definitely seems like a valid question to ask
My thoughts exactly. The only explanation (with the assumption that long Covid risk as a proportion of infections is actually lower in vaccinated individuals) that I can think of for why the JoinZOE paper may have found no significant effect in the reduction of long Covid as a proportion of cases (despite strong priors in favor of the opposite) is that perhaps people think of Covid less now and are more likely to drop off using the app if their symptoms don’t persist than they were in say, December 2020 or January 2021.
This seems to be true, but this doesn’t obviously imply the risk of long COVID is significantly decreased. As far as I’m aware, no one has really studied this. On priors I’d guess that vaccines help a bunch, but I don’t understand what’s going on here very well.
And I think this is an important question, long COVID seems to represent a lot of the harm of COVID to young people. If case rates in your area aren’t that low, this definitely seems like a valid question to ask
My thoughts exactly. The only explanation (with the assumption that long Covid risk as a proportion of infections is actually lower in vaccinated individuals) that I can think of for why the JoinZOE paper may have found no significant effect in the reduction of long Covid as a proportion of cases (despite strong priors in favor of the opposite) is that perhaps people think of Covid less now and are more likely to drop off using the app if their symptoms don’t persist than they were in say, December 2020 or January 2021.