With regard to how prediction polls are displayed on LW, the predictions made by others should be hidden until a.) you yourself make a prediction or b.) you press a button (or something like that) to display the results without predicting.
Since the prediction polls aren’t trying to be a prediction market, I would much rather they be hidden first to avoid being influenced.
We have a setting that allows you to view them exactly that way. But I think too large of a fraction of people reading LW posts are lurkers, and this means that I am hesitant. to force them to press an additional button for every poll, but it seems like a reasonable setting that allows some people to opt into that.
With regard to how prediction polls are displayed on LW, the predictions made by others should be hidden until a.) you yourself make a prediction or b.) you press a button (or something like that) to display the results without predicting.
Since the prediction polls aren’t trying to be a prediction market, I would much rather they be hidden first to avoid being influenced.
We have a setting that allows you to view them exactly that way. But I think too large of a fraction of people reading LW posts are lurkers, and this means that I am hesitant. to force them to press an additional button for every poll, but it seems like a reasonable setting that allows some people to opt into that.