One in a bajillion? You are saying you actually know how complex psi is without even saying what aspect of psi you are talking about.
We know biology is very complex. So when testing a supplement like creatine, the pseudoskeptic could say “biology is extremely complex. We do not know the mechanism that makes creatine work so I assign a very low bayesian probability. Today I feel like a hundred trillion to one”.
Keep in mind this is after several studies have shown an effect in the predicted direction whose odds are not easily explained by chance. Indeed, there is nothing wrong with you assertion about complexity just the subjective part where you assign a number to a phenomena you are not very familiar with.
One in a bajillion? You are saying you actually know how complex psi is without even saying what aspect of psi you are talking about.
We know biology is very complex. So when testing a supplement like creatine, the pseudoskeptic could say “biology is extremely complex. We do not know the mechanism that makes creatine work so I assign a very low bayesian probability. Today I feel like a hundred trillion to one”.
Keep in mind this is after several studies have shown an effect in the predicted direction whose odds are not easily explained by chance. Indeed, there is nothing wrong with you assertion about complexity just the subjective part where you assign a number to a phenomena you are not very familiar with.
Bajillion isn’t exactly a precise measure. In this context it means ‘lots’. That isn’t hard to assign to the all aspects of psi.