I think perhaps in some ways this overstated the present risks at the time, but I think this forecasting is still relevant for the upcoming future. AI is continuing to improve. At some point, people will be able to make agents that can do a lot of harm. We can’t rely on compute governance with the level of confidence we would need to be comfortable with that as a solution given the risks.
I think perhaps in some ways this overstated the present risks at the time, but I think this forecasting is still relevant for the upcoming future. AI is continuing to improve. At some point, people will be able to make agents that can do a lot of harm. We can’t rely on compute governance with the level of confidence we would need to be comfortable with that as a solution given the risks.
An example of recent work showing the potential for compute governance to fail: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10616v1