Yes, Bayesianism is more than one thing. (BEIMTOT)
Theres a plausible version of Bayes, which isn’t very exciting, the update rule.
And an exciting version, Bayes as a complete system of epistemology, which isnt very plausible. In particular, it isnt able to answer questions like “what is evidence?” and ’where do hypotheses come from?” … leaving most of the vexing questions you would want a complete system of epistemology to solve, unsolved.
So you have all the ingredients for motte-and-bailey confusions—two things that come in exciting but implausible and plausible but boring versions, and they’re called by the same name.
Yes, Bayesianism is more than one thing. (BEIMTOT)
Theres a plausible version of Bayes, which isn’t very exciting, the update rule.
And an exciting version, Bayes as a complete system of epistemology, which isnt very plausible. In particular, it isnt able to answer questions like “what is evidence?” and ’where do hypotheses come from?” … leaving most of the vexing questions you would want a complete system of epistemology to solve, unsolved.
So you have all the ingredients for motte-and-bailey confusions—two things that come in exciting but implausible and plausible but boring versions, and they’re called by the same name.