This strikes me as both a good explanation of why people are excited by Bayes’ theorem and why they/I can come off as frustrated that more people don’t seem to worship it enough. Basically I view the equation as the mathematical way of saying “you should form and update your beliefs based on evidence.” Which, I think as any rationalist would agree, is both (a) not as obvious and straightforward as it sounds, and (b) would make the world better if more people heeded the call.
This strikes me as both a good explanation of why people are excited by Bayes’ theorem and why they/I can come off as frustrated that more people don’t seem to worship it enough. Basically I view the equation as the mathematical way of saying “you should form and update your beliefs based on evidence.” Which, I think as any rationalist would agree, is both (a) not as obvious and straightforward as it sounds, and (b) would make the world better if more people heeded the call.