Ok. I naively thought I could trip up this system by altering the probability of being a simulation or the payout, but I can’t.
SCDT successfully 1 boxes on any box 2 payout larger than $1000. SCDT successfully 1 boxes even if a single simulation is used to predict any number of actual Alices. (The scenario I worked through involved 10,000 duplicate Alices being predicted by a single Alice simulation.)
Ok. I naively thought I could trip up this system by altering the probability of being a simulation or the payout, but I can’t.
SCDT successfully 1 boxes on any box 2 payout larger than $1000. SCDT successfully 1 boxes even if a single simulation is used to predict any number of actual Alices. (The scenario I worked through involved 10,000 duplicate Alices being predicted by a single Alice simulation.)
I’m thoroughly impressed by this decision theory.