I agree that the first can be framed as a meta-crux, but actually I think the way you framed it is more of an object-level forecasting question, or perhaps a strong prior on the forecasted effects of technological progress. If on the other hand you framed it more as conflict theory vs. mistake theory, then I’d say that’s more on the meta level.
For the second, I agree that’s for some people, but I’m skeptical of how prevalent the cosmopolitan view is, which is why I didn’t include it in the post.
I agree that the first can be framed as a meta-crux, but actually I think the way you framed it is more of an object-level forecasting question, or perhaps a strong prior on the forecasted effects of technological progress. If on the other hand you framed it more as conflict theory vs. mistake theory, then I’d say that’s more on the meta level.
For the second, I agree that’s for some people, but I’m skeptical of how prevalent the cosmopolitan view is, which is why I didn’t include it in the post.